Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Charlotte 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 99% |
| O/U 43.5 | 98% |
| O/U 45.5 | 96% |
| O/U 47.5 | 95% |
| O/U 49.5 | 93% |
| O/U 51.5 | 91% |
| Tulane O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| Charlotte O/U 26.5 | 88% |
| O/U 53.5 | 84% |
| Spread -0.5 | 78% |
| Tulane O/U 23.5 | 78% |
| O/U 55.5 | 76% |
| Tulane O/U 26.5 | 73% |
| O/U 57.5 | 72% |
| O/U 59.5 | 67% |
| Charlotte O/U 29.5 | 62% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 61.5 | 59% |
| Spread -0.5 | 57% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 53% |
| Tulane O/U 32.5 | 51% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Tulane Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Charlotte Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Charlotte O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tulane O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 49% |
| O/U 73.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| O/U 63.5 | 48% |
| Tulane 1H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 47% |
| Spread -4.5 | 44% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Tulane O/U 29.5 | 42% |
| Tulane vs. Charlotte | 38% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Charlotte O/U 35.5 | 38% |
| O/U 67.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 33% |
| Spread -7.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 25% |
| O/U 71.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 23% |
| O/U 75.5 | 22% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 18% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 10% |
| Spread -8.5 | 9% |
| Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 3% |
| Spread -16.5 | 3% |
| Spread -14.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 1% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 1% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to tulane vs. charlotte. In the upcoming college football game between Tulane and Charlotte, scheduled for October 30 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tulane" if Tulane win the game. This market will resolve to "Cha…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $562K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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