Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 2Q O/U 44.5 | 94% |
| 1Q O/U 46.5 | 93% |
| O/U 211.5 | 92% |
| 3Q O/U 50.5 | 92% |
| 4Q O/U 47.5 | 91% |
| O/U 213.5 | 90% |
| O/U 215.5 | 89% |
| 2Q O/U 46.5 | 89% |
| Heat 1H O/U 49.5 | 89% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 88% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 87% |
| O/U 217.5 | 86% |
| 4Q O/U 49.5 | 85% |
| 2Q O/U 48.5 | 84% |
| Heat 1H O/U 51.5 | 84% |
| O/U 219.5 | 83% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 82% |
| O/U 221.5 | 81% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 81% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 100.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 104.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 51.5 | 79% |
| O/U 223.5 | 77% |
| 2Q O/U 50.5 | 77% |
| 1H O/U 98.5 | 76% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 76% |
| Heat 1H O/U 53.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 75% |
| Pacers O/U 98.5 | 75% |
| O/U 225.5 | 74% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 14.5 | 74% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 74% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 46.5 | 73% |
| Heat O/U 110.5 | 73% |
| Spread -1.5 | 72% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 72% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 71% |
| Heat O/U 116.5 | 71% |
| O/U 227.5 | 70% |
| Pacers O/U 96.5 | 70% |
| Heat O/U 114.5 | 70% |
| Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Pacers O/U 100.5 | 69% |
| Heat O/U 112.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 52.5 | 68% |
| Pacers O/U 108.5 | 68% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 67% |
| Heat O/U 120.5 | 67% |
| Spread: Heat (-3.5) | 66% |
| O/U 229.5 | 66% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 66% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 66% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 50.5 | 66% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Spread -4.5 | 63% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 14.5 | 63% |
| O/U 231.5 | 62% |
| Heat 1H O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| Spread -5.5 | 61% |
| Heat O/U 118.5 | 61% |
| Heat 1H O/U 57.5 | 61% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 | 59% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 59% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 44.5 | 59% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 48.5 | 59% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 59% |
| O/U 233.5 | 58% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 9.5 | 58% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 58% |
| Spread -6.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 9.5 | 57% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 57% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 56% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| Pacers O/U 112.5 | 56% |
| Spread -7.5 | 55% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 55% |
| O/U 235.5 | 54% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 54% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 54% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 54% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 53% |
| Pacers O/U 106.5 | 53% |
| Heat 1H O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 6.5 | 52% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| O/U 236.5 | 52% |
| Race to 20 | 51% |
| Race to 30 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 51% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 56.5 | 51% |
| Heat O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Pacers O/U 122.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 102.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 104.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 110.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Pacers O/U 124.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Heat 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| O/U 237.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 48% |
| Pacers O/U 114.5 | 48% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -9.5 | 47% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 19.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Heat O/U 128.5 | 47% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 45% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| O/U 239.5 | 44% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Heat O/U 124.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 64.5 | 44% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 60.5 | 44% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Pacers O/U 116.5 | 42% |
| Pacers O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2Q O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 56.5 | 41% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 58.5 | 41% |
| Heat 1H O/U 61.5 | 41% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5 | 40% |
| Spread -11.5 | 40% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 40% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 40% |
| Heat O/U 134.5 | 40% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| O/U 242.5 | 39% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 39% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 31.5 | 38% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 8.5 | 38% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 38% |
| 4Q O/U 61.5 | 38% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 37% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 37% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 37% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Spread -13.5 | 36% |
| O/U 243.5 | 36% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Heat O/U 132.5 | 35% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Steals O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| 1H Moneyline | 33% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| Heat 1H O/U 63.5 | 33% |
| 2Q O/U 60.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 33% |
| O/U 245.5 | 32% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| 1H O/U 120.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 63.5 | 31% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 31% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 9.5 | 31% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Spread -15.5 | 30% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Pacers 1H O/U 62.5 | 30% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 30% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 17.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 29% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 29% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 30.5 | 29% |
| O/U 247.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| Heat O/U 126.5 | 28% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Pacers vs. Heat | 27% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 18.5 | 27% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 11.5 | 27% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 12.5 | 27% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| 1H O/U 128.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| 1H O/U 124.5 | 25% |
| 4Q O/U 65.5 | 25% |
| Heat O/U 130.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 68.5 | 25% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Pelle Larsson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| O/U 249.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 13.5 | 24% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 12.5 | 24% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 122.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 24% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Heat 1H O/U 65.5 | 24% |
| 1Q O/U 64.5 | 24% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Bobby Portis Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 23% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 126.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 130.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Pacers O/U 118.5 | 23% |
| Pacers O/U 126.5 | 23% |
| Spread -2.5 | 22% |
| O/U 251.5 | 22% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Spread -19.5 | 21% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 34.5 | 21% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| Jay Huff: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 14.5 | 20% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 20% |
| O/U 253.5 | 19% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 19% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Aaron Nesmith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -4.5 | 17% |
| Spread -21.5 | 17% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 44.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 17% |
| Heat 1H O/U 67.5 | 17% |
| 1Q O/U 66.5 | 17% |
| Jarace Walker: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Andrew Nembhard: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Jarace Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Pelle Larsson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 17% |
| O/U 255.5 | 16% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 29.5 | 16% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 16% |
| Pascal Siakam: Steals O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 16% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 11.5 | 16% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Points O/U 19.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Jay Huff: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Spread -6.5 | 13% |
| Spread -23.5 | 13% |
| O/U 257.5 | 13% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 11.5 | 13% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 13% |
| Heat 1H O/U 69.5 | 13% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| Spread -25.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 49.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 11% |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 68.5 | 11% |
| O/U 259.5 | 11% |
| Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Points O/U 39.5 | 10% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Bam Adebayo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Davion Mitchell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| O/U 261.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 24.5 | 9% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -27.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 8% |
| 1Q O/U 70.5 | 8% |
| O/U 263.5 | 8% |
| Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 13.5 | 8% |
| Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Klay Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 7% |
| Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Jarace Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Spread -12.5 | 6% |
| Spread -29.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 6% |
| Davion Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 9.5 | 6% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Klay Thompson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| O/U 265.5 | 6% |
| Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 5.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -31.5 | 5% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 14.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 19.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 5% |
| O/U 267.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 4% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 4% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 3% |
| Andrew Wiggins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Bobby Portis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 9.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: Points O/U 24.5 | 3% |
| Pascal Siakam: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 3% |
| Andrew Wiggins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 3% |
| Bam Adebayo: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Davion Mitchell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 2% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 2% |
| Obi Toppin: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 1% |
| Obi Toppin: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pacers vs. heat stands at 94% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Pacers win, the market will resolve to "Pacers". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $852K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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