Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
93% | 7% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
93% | 7% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 199.5 | 93% |
| 1Q O/U 43.5 | 93% |
| 4Q O/U 44.5 | 92% |
| Rockets O/U 98.5 | 92% |
| O/U 201.5 | 91% |
| 3Q O/U 47.5 | 90% |
| Rockets O/U 100.5 | 90% |
| 1Q O/U 45.5 | 89% |
| O/U 203.5 | 88% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 46.5 | 88% |
| 4Q O/U 46.5 | 87% |
| O/U 205.5 | 86% |
| Rockets O/U 102.5 | 86% |
| 1H O/U 93.5 | 85% |
| 3Q O/U 49.5 | 85% |
| O/U 207.5 | 83% |
| 1Q O/U 47.5 | 83% |
| Rockets O/U 104.5 | 81% |
| O/U 209.5 | 80% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 48.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 101.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 95.5 | 78% |
| 1H O/U 99.5 | 78% |
| 3Q O/U 51.5 | 77% |
| O/U 211.5 | 76% |
| 1Q O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| Rockets O/U 106.5 | 75% |
| 2Q O/U 45.5 | 74% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 50.5 | 74% |
| 1H O/U 97.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 49.5 | 73% |
| 2Q O/U 51.5 | 73% |
| Mavericks O/U 94.5 | 73% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 42.5 | 73% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 44.5 | 73% |
| O/U 213.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 41.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 47.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 92.5 | 72% |
| Mavericks O/U 96.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 43.5 | 71% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 19.5 | 70% |
| 3Q O/U 53.5 | 70% |
| Rockets O/U 108.5 | 70% |
| O/U 215.5 | 69% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 3.5 | 68% |
| Mavericks O/U 104.5 | 68% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 54.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 67% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 67% |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks | 66% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| O/U 217.5 | 65% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 52.5 | 65% |
| Rockets O/U 110.5 | 64% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| 1H Moneyline | 62% |
| Mavericks O/U 106.5 | 62% |
| Spread -2.5 | 61% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 61% |
| 3Q O/U 55.5 | 61% |
| O/U 219.5 | 60% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 60% |
| Spread -3.5 | 57% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 57% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 57% |
| Rockets O/U 112.5 | 57% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 48.5 | 57% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 57% |
| O/U 221.5 | 56% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 56% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 0.5 | 56% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 56% |
| Spread -4.5 | 55% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 100.5 | 55% |
| Mavericks O/U 102.5 | 55% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 53% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| 2Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| O/U 223.5 | 52% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| 3Q O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 52% |
| 4Q Spread -12.5 | 52% |
| Mavericks O/U 98.5 | 52% |
| Mavericks O/U 108.5 | 52% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 52.5 | 52% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 46.5 | 52% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Rockets O/U 114.5 | 51% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 50.5 | 51% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Mavericks 2H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Rockets 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 49% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 11.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| Mavericks O/U 116.5 | 49% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Steals O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Steals O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Steals O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 48% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 53.5 | 48% |
| Spread -6.5 | 47% |
| O/U 225.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 24.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 47% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 4.5 | 47% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Rockets O/U 115.5 | 46% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 24.5 | 46% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 46% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 44% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 11.5 | 44% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 19.5 | 44% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Tari Eason: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 43% |
| Rockets O/U 116.5 | 43% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| O/U 227.5 | 42% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 15.5 | 42% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 42% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 42% |
| Mavericks O/U 120.5 | 42% |
| Mavericks O/U 122.5 | 42% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 18.5 | 42% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Spread -8.5 | 40% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 23.5 | 40% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 40% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 24.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 40% |
| Mavericks O/U 118.5 | 40% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5 | 39% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 4Q O/U 58.5 | 39% |
| Mavericks O/U 112.5 | 39% |
| Spread -9.5 | 38% |
| O/U 229.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 9.5 | 38% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 38% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| Mavericks O/U 110.5 | 38% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 14.5 | 37% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 36% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 58.5 | 36% |
| Rockets O/U 118.5 | 36% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 36% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 35% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 35% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 34% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 34% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 34% |
| Spread -10.5 | 33% |
| O/U 231.5 | 33% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 22.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 58.5 | 32% |
| Spread -11.5 | 31% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5 | 31% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 31% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 60.5 | 31% |
| Spread -2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| Rockets O/U 120.5 | 30% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 30% |
| O/U 233.5 | 29% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 54.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 56.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks O/U 114.5 | 28% |
| Mavericks 1H O/U 62.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Naji Marshall: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 60.5 | 27% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Spread -13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -4.5 | 26% |
| O/U 235.5 | 26% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 26% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| 3Q O/U 63.5 | 26% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 12.5 | 26% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 3.5 | 26% |
| Naji Marshall: Assists O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 25% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 24% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| 4Q O/U 62.5 | 24% |
| Rockets O/U 122.5 | 24% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 23% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 23% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 23% |
| O/U 237.5 | 22% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 24.5 | 22% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 22% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 62.5 | 22% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 22% |
| Spread -15.5 | 21% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 21% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 20% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 14.5 | 19% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -17.5 | 18% |
| O/U 239.5 | 18% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 18% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| P.J. Washington: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 18% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 65.5 | 18% |
| Rockets O/U 124.5 | 18% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 17% |
| Spread -8.5 | 16% |
| O/U 241.5 | 16% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| Zaccharie Risacher: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 16% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 15% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 15% |
| 4Q O/U 64.5 | 15% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 15% |
| Spread -19.5 | 14% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 64.5 | 14% |
| O/U 243.5 | 13% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 13% |
| Tari Eason: Steals O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 13% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 13% |
| Rockets O/U 126.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| Amen Thompson: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 39.5 | 12% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 12% |
| 4Q O/U 66.5 | 12% |
| Spread -21.5 | 11% |
| O/U 245.5 | 11% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 14.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Amen Thompson: Steals O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| P.J. Washington: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Tari Eason: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Cooper Flagg: Steals O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 10% |
| Naji Marshall: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 9% |
| Spread -12.5 | 9% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 9% |
| Kyrie Irving: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Fred VanVleet: Steals O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Rockets 1H O/U 66.5 | 9% |
| Rockets O/U 128.5 | 9% |
| O/U 247.5 | 8% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 8% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 9.5 | 8% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyrie Irving: Steals O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 8% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Fred VanVleet: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Kevin Durant: Points O/U 34.5 | 7% |
| Kyrie Irving: Points O/U 29.5 | 7% |
| Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 7% |
| Tari Eason: Assists O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Fred VanVleet: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 7% |
| 4Q O/U 68.5 | 7% |
| 1Q O/U 67.5 | 7% |
| O/U 249.5 | 7% |
| Spread -25.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 14.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| O/U 251.5 | 6% |
| Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 5% |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 34.5 | 5% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| O/U 253.5 | 5% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 20.5 | 5% |
| Spread -27.5 | 4% |
| Spread -18.5 | 4% |
| Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 21.5 | 4% |
| Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 | 4% |
| Kevin Durant: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Max Christie: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| Kyrie Irving: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 7.5 | 4% |
| Tari Eason: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| Cooper Flagg: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| O/U 255.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -20.5 | 3% |
| P.J. Washington: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 3% |
| Max Christie: Points O/U 19.5 | 3% |
| Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Fred VanVleet: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 3% |
| Spread -31.5 | 2% |
| Spread -33.5 | 2% |
| Spread -22.5 | 2% |
Market context
Market consensus: 93% chance of rockets vs. mavericks. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00PM ET: If the Rockets win, the market will resolve to "Rockets". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Maveric…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.2M.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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