Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to itf tianjin: ku keon kang vs toshiki karigyo. This market refers to the tennis match between Ku Keon Kang and Toshiki Karigyo in the ITF Men Tianjin, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 12:15AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ku Keon Kan…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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