Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei | 99% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 22.5 | 75% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Match O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 13% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to warsaw: carol young suh lee vs aliona falei. This market refers to the tennis match between Carol Young Suh Lee and Aliona Falei in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carol Young Suh L…
Methodology
This page reviews Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Warsaw: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Aliona Falei on Polymarket Review UK
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