Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying real-world event is a WNBA match scheduled for 22 June 2026 at 7:30PM ET between the Toronto Tempo and the Atlanta Dream, where the market resolves to the winner’s name. Historical precedent frames the current 0% crowd-implied probability for a Tempo win: in their only prior meeting on 14 June 2026, the Dream defeated the Tempo 102–77, with Angel Reese recording 15 points and 17 rebounds (including 11 offensive, a career high) and Allisha Gray adding 26 points[1][2]. The Dream’s dominance was evident across all quarters, outscoring Toronto by 11, 20, 3, and 14 points respectively, while the Tempo struggled to convert possessions, particularly in the second and fourth quarters[1].

A power-user approaching this programmatically would monitor catalysts such as confirmed lineups, injury reports, and venue conditions, noting that the game is set at Gateway Center Arena in Atlanta, the Dream’s home ground[5]. Recent coverage confirms the Dream’s 9–4 record and 5–2 away form, with a -6.5 point spread favouring them, suggesting structural confidence in their performance[1]. Traders should watch for official WNBA announcements on 21–22 June regarding any roster changes or weather-related delays, as postponements would keep the market open until completion, while cancellations without a make-up game would resolve 50–50[1]. No recent news source has reported disruptions, but the Dream’s offensive consistency and rebounding advantage remain key dependencies for settlement.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Toronto Tempo vs. Atlanta Dream on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.