Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 94% |
| Eagles O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| O/U 26.5 | 90% |
| O/U 27.5 | 89% |
| Eagles O/U 12.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 87% |
| O/U 29.5 | 86% |
| Eagles O/U 13.5 | 85% |
| O/U 30.5 | 83% |
| O/U 31.5 | 82% |
| Bears O/U 10.5 | 81% |
| O/U 32.5 | 79% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 6.5 | 79% |
| Bears O/U 12.5 | 78% |
| Eagles O/U 16.5 | 77% |
| O/U 33.5 | 76% |
| O/U 34.5 | 73% |
| Bears O/U 13.5 | 72% |
| O/U 35.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 71% |
| O/U 36.5 | 69% |
| Bears 1H O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| Eagles O/U 19.5 | 66% |
| Eagles vs. Bears | 64% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| O/U 38.5 | 61% |
| Bears O/U 16.5 | 61% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| Eagles O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| O/U 39.5 | 59% |
| Spread -1.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 57% |
| O/U 40.5 | 55% |
| O/U 41.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 51% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Eagles by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bears by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Eagles Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Eagles vs. Bears: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bears O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Eagles 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bears 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Eagles Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bears Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 49% |
| O/U 42.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Eagles O/U 23.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 45% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 44% |
| Bears O/U 20.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 44.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -6.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 13.5 | 38% |
| O/U 46.5 | 37% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Spread -0.5 | 36% |
| Eagles O/U 26.5 | 36% |
| Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 47.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| O/U 48.5 | 31% |
| Spread -8.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 31% |
| Bears O/U 23.5 | 31% |
| O/U 49.5 | 30% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 30% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 30% |
| Eagles O/U 27.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Bears 1H O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| O/U 50.5 | 25% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 16.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| O/U 51.5 | 23% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 22% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 22% |
| Eagles O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| O/U 52.5 | 21% |
| Bears O/U 26.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -6.5 | 20% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 20% |
| O/U 53.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 18% |
| O/U 54.5 | 17% |
| O/U 55.5 | 16% |
| Bears O/U 27.5 | 16% |
| Bears 1H O/U 16.5 | 16% |
| Spread -17.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| Spread -19.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| Bears O/U 30.5 | 11% |
| Eagles 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Eagles O/U 34.5 | 10% |
| O/U 59.5 | 9% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Bears 1H O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| O/U 60.5 | 8% |
| O/U 61.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| Bears 1H O/U 20.5 | 7% |
| O/U 63.5 | 6% |
| O/U 67.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 6% |
| Bears O/U 34.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| O/U 62.5 | 5% |
| O/U 65.5 | 4% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 2% |
Market context
The Eagles vs. Bears prediction market currently prices this outcome at 94% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15PM ET: If Eagles wins, the market will resolve to "Eagles". If Bears wins, the market will resolve to "Bears". If the game is postponed, thi…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $323K.
Methodology
We track Eagles vs. Bears across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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