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Texas vs. Tennessee

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Texas vs. Tennessee" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 39.5 86% O/U 35.5 75% O/U 37.5 73% O/U 45.5 72% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $1.5M Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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Texas vs. Tennessee

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 39.586%
O/U 35.575%
O/U 37.573%
O/U 45.572%
Tennessee O/U 19.570%
O/U 41.569%
O/U 47.569%
2Q O/U 10.568%
Texas vs. Tennessee65%
Spread -0.565%
3Q O/U 7.565%
O/U 43.564%
Spread -2.562%
Spread -1.562%
O/U 49.562%
1H Moneyline61%
Texas O/U 27.559%
2H Spread -2.558%
O/U 51.557%
1H Spread -0.557%
Spread -3.556%
Texas 2H O/U 14.556%
O/U 53.555%
2Q O/U 13.555%
1H Spread -2.554%
Spread -4.552%
1H O/U 25.551%
2H O/U 33.551%
1Q Spread -0.551%
1Q O/U 15.551%
2Q Spread -1.551%
2Q O/U 22.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
3Q Spread -0.551%
3Q Spread -1.551%
4Q Spread -1.551%
4Q O/U 8.551%
4Q O/U 11.551%
4Q O/U 14.551%
4Q O/U 17.551%
Texas O/U 24.551%
Texas O/U 33.551%
Tennessee 1H O/U 11.551%
Tennessee 2H O/U 12.551%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Moneyline51%
4Q Moneyline51%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q251%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q451%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown51%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.551%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.551%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.551%
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.551%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 2.551%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 14.551%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 19.551%
Spread -24.550%
Spread -18.550%
Spread -12.550%
O/U 67.550%
1H O/U 22.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q O/U 6.550%
1Q O/U 9.550%
1Q O/U 18.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Texas O/U 36.550%
Tennessee O/U 22.550%
Tennessee O/U 25.550%
Tennessee O/U 28.550%
Tennessee O/U 31.550%
Tennessee 1H O/U 13.550%
Texas 2H O/U 12.550%
Texas 2H O/U 16.550%
Tennessee 2H O/U 10.550%
Tennessee 2H O/U 14.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Tennessee O/U 3.550%
Texas O/U 3.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Texas Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Texas Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Tennessee Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Texas Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Tennessee Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Texas Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Tennessee Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Tennessee 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Texas Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Tennessee Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Texas Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Tennessee Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Texas Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Tennessee Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Texas vs. Tennessee: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
Tennessee O/U 2.550%
Spread -5.549%
1Q O/U 12.549%
3Q O/U 10.549%
O/U 55.548%
2Q Spread -2.548%
2Q O/U 16.548%
Texas 1H O/U 14.548%
3Q O/U 13.547%
Texas O/U 30.547%
Spread -6.546%
1H Spread -3.546%
1Q Spread -0.545%
1Q Moneyline45%
2H Spread -3.544%
3Q Spread -2.544%
O/U 57.543%
1H O/U 28.543%
4Q Spread -2.542%
1H Spread -4.541%
1H Spread -5.540%
1H O/U 31.540%
4Q Spread -3.540%
Texas 1H O/U 16.540%
Texas 1H O/U 18.540%
Spread -8.539%
Spread -7.539%
1Q Spread -3.539%
Tennessee 1H O/U 15.539%
2Q Spread -3.538%
3Q O/U 16.538%
Spread -9.537%
O/U 59.537%
2Q O/U 19.537%
3Q Spread -3.537%
2H O/U 30.536%
Spread -0.535%
O/U 61.535%
1Q Spread -3.534%
Spread -1.533%
Spread -10.532%
Spread -2.532%
Spread -11.530%
O/U 63.529%
1H Spread -7.529%
Spread -3.527%
Spread -14.525%
1H O/U 34.525%
3Q O/U 19.525%
Spread -4.524%
4Q O/U 20.524%
Spread -6.522%
Spread -17.519%
O/U 65.519%
Spread -12.518%
Spread -20.517%
O/U 69.517%
Spread -21.514%
Spread -9.514%
O/U 73.514%
Spread -10.513%
O/U 71.512%
Spread -13.511%
O/U 75.511%
Spread -16.56%

Market context

Texas vs. Tennessee — current market-implied probability: 86%. In the upcoming college football game between Texas and Tennessee, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Texas" if Texas win the game. This market will resolve to "Ten…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 39.5 at 86% for "Texas vs. Tennessee".

O/U 39.5 86% Other 14%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $122K.

Methodology

This page reviews Texas vs. Tennessee across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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