How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO…

Name: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Start: 2026-07-15T18:41:13.826Z
End: 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	80%	20%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	80%	20%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Trade this market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Trade this market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	80%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	70%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?	69%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	64%
Game 1 Winner	60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	60%
Match Winner	56%
Game 2 Winner	51%
O/U 2.5 Games	51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor	50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon	50%
Any Player Quadra Kill	50%
Any Player Penta Kill	50%
Odd/Even Total Kills	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?	50%
First Blood in Game 1?	48%
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)	31%
First Blood in Game 2?	26%
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)	21%

Market context

The LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend prediction market currently prices this outcome at 80% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and EDward Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming…

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

James WilliamsPrediction Market Analystand

David ParkSports Data Analyst

Trade LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL… on Polymarket Review UK

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