Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals | 100% |
| Adil Boulbina: 5+ shots | 100% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots | 97% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots | 91% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assists | 90% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots on target | 77% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ goals + assists | 77% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals + assists | 77% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots | 76% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ shots on target | 76% |
| Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves | 76% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ shots | 75% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots | 65% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ assists | 53% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots | 51% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots | 51% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots | 51% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots | 51% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ goals | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ goals | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ goals | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ goals | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goals | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 5+ shots | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ assists | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Adil Boulbina: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Cédric Itten: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 4+ shots on target | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 4+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Mohamed El Amine Amoura: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ shots on target | 50% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ shots on target | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Gregor Kobel: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Luca Zidane: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Melvin Mastil: 2+ saves | 50% |
| Melvin Mastil: 3+ saves | 50% |
| Melvin Mastil: 4+ saves | 50% |
| Melvin Mastil: 5+ saves | 50% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 3+ shots | 47% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals + assists | 11% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goals | 10% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 1+ goals | 10% |
| Noah Okafor: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goals | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ shots | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 5+ shots | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ assists | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ shots on target | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Breel Embolo: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Dan Ndoye: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Johan Manzambi: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Ruben Vargas: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ shots on target | 10% |
| Anis Hadj Moussa: 3+ shots on target | 10% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 1+ shots | 9% |
| Amine Gouiri: 3+ goals | 8% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ assists | 3% |
| Fares Chaïbi: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Breel Embolo: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assists | 2% |
| Breel Embolo: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Dan Ndoye: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Nadhir Benbouali: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Amine Gouiri: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Amine Gouiri: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Breel Embolo: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Christian Fassnacht: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Dan Ndoye: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Johan Manzambi: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 1+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Ruben Vargas: 2+ assists | 0% |
Market context
The Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Algeria, scheduled for July 2 at 11:00 PM ET.
Methodology
We track Switzerland vs. Algeria - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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