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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 98% Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5) 95% Game 1 Winner 91% Game 2 Winner 90% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $306K Closes: 3 Jul 2026
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LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner98%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)95%
Game 1 Winner91%
Game 2 Winner90%
Game 3 Winner89%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)74%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?64%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?64%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon63%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon62%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?62%
Game 4 Winner60%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon56%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon55%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?48%
Odd/Even Total Kills47%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon47%
Any Player Quadra Kill41%
First Blood in Game 2?40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor38%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
First Blood in Game 3?38%
Any Player Quadra Kill37%
Any Player Quadra Kill36%
First Blood in Game 1?36%
O/U 3.5 Games26%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor22%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20%
Any Player Penta Kill20%
Any Player Penta Kill16%
O/U 4.5 Games5%
Any Player Penta Kill4%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 98% probability to lol: hanwha life esports vs team secret whales (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Hanwha Life Esports and Team Secret Whales in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 2 at 11:00PM E…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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