Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 90% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 90% |
| Match Winner | 53% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 48% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-3.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Sashi Esport (-6.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs Sashi Esport (+9.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-6.5) vs Sashi Esport (+6.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-3.5) vs Sashi Esport (+3.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nuclear TigeRES (-9.5) vs Sashi Esport (+9.5) | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Sashi Esport (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: sashi esport vs nuclear tigeres (bo3) - nodwin clutch series playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Sashi Esport and Nuclear TigeRES in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market wi…
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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