Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% |
| Match Winner | 100% |
| Map Handicap: QoR (-1.5) vs YFT Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: QoR (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: QoR (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: QoR (-2.5) vs YFT Esports (+2.5) | 1% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
Market context
The underlying event is a Lower Bracket Round 1 match in the VCL North America: Stage 3 Playoffs between QoR and YFT Esports, scheduled for 4 July at 4:00 PM ET. This is a Best of 3 contest where the winner advances and the loser faces elimination, with QoR currently holding a 2–0 victory over YFT in the live record[2].
Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in regional Valorant lower-bracket matches often signal a decisive skill gap or a prior head-to-head dominance, as seen when top-tier teams like EG or 100T secure clean sweeps against lower-ranked opponents in similar Swiss-to-Playoff formats[4]. In the 2024 NA Challengers Stage 3 Playoffs, similar one-sided outcomes occurred when established squads faced teams with fewer playoff wins, reinforcing that such probabilities usually reflect confirmed form rather than speculation[8].
Traders should monitor official VCL announcements for any schedule shifts or disqualifications, as the tournament uses a 16-team Swiss System where four wins advance teams and four losses eliminate them[4]. Recent coverage from VLR.gg confirms QoR’s 2–0 win over YFT with MVP derrek, indicating QoR’s tactical superiority and reducing the likelihood of a tie or cancellation[2]. No further catalysts are expected unless Riot Games issues patch-related delays, though Patch 12.05 is already active for this stage[3].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: QoR vs YFT Esports (BO3) - VCL North Ameri… on Polymarket Review UK
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