Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Team Falcons and OG are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Dota 2 match as part of the BLAST Slam Group Stage on 26 May at 07:30 ET. The fixture represents a single-elimination encounter within a structured tournament format, where the outcome determines advancement through the group phase. BLAST Slam operates as a seasonal competitive circuit, drawing top-tier rosters from across the global Dota 2 ecosystem.
Historical precedent suggests that OG enters such fixtures as favourites given their sustained presence in tier-one competition and multiple International victories, though Team Falcons has demonstrated capacity to challenge established squads in recent seasons. The current 100% implied probability for either outcome indicates the market has not yet absorbed meaningful uncertainty—a common pattern when settlement windows remain distant and roster confirmations remain pending. Traders employing conditional order logic should flag any roster changes, player substitutions, or withdrawal announcements as primary triggers for repricing, as these directly affect match execution likelihood.
Tournament scheduling dependencies warrant programmatic monitoring: fixture delays beyond the seven-day threshold would trigger a 50-50 resolution, whilst match cancellations or forfeits carry identical settlement outcomes. Recent BLAST Slam communications should be tracked for venue confirmations and broadcast schedules, as infrastructure issues have historically affected Dota 2 tournament timings. Automated feeds tracking official BLAST and team social channels provide early signals for disruptions that could materialise between now and the settlement window closure.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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