Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
MrBeast's latest video will accumulate views across its first 48 hours post-publication, with this market tracking the total count at that checkpoint. The resolution hinges on YouTube's public view counter at the exact moment the window closes, requiring either manual polling or API integration to capture the figure reliably. Traders automating this observation would need to account for YouTube's view-refresh lag—typically 24–48 hours behind real-time engagement—meaning the final settlement value may not reflect actual viewing activity until after the resolution window technically closes.
MrBeast's upload cadence and video performance have shifted materially over the past two years. His 2023–2024 releases consistently crossed 50 million views within 48 hours, with flagship collaborations and challenges regularly exceeding 80 million. However, recent uploads show greater variance: some hit 40–60 million, whilst others have underperformed at 25–35 million depending on content type and announcement timing. The 0% implied probability suggests the market is calibrated to a specific view threshold that sits well above his recent median performance, making historical benchmarking essential before position-sizing.
Timing catalysts include MrBeast's upload schedule, which typically clusters around Tuesday–Thursday releases, and any concurrent promotional activity across his secondary channels or social platforms. Traders should monitor his X and Instagram accounts for teaser posts 24–72 hours before publication, as these correlate with audience mobilisation. Additionally, YouTube's algorithmic promotion and trending placement during the first 12 hours materially influence velocity; videos trending in the first six hours historically accumulate 30–40% of their 48-hour total by hour 24, providing an early signal for conditional order placement.
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of MrBeast video day 2? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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