Highest temperature in Wellington on August 8?

Platform comparison

Market context

The temperature that matters is the highest **observed** reading at Wellington International Airport on 8 August, not the headline day high, so a programme that tracks this market should pull the Weather Underground **Daily Observations** table and update the maximum Celsius value as fresh station data posts. Current forecasts point to a cool, windy day: AccuWeather has Wellington at about **57°F/14°C** for the day with cloud, a steady breeze and precipitation risk, while other forecast sites cluster around low-teens Celsius highs, which is consistent with the market’s present **0% YES** pricing for any materially hotter outcome.[2][3][6][19]

Historically, Wellington in August is usually a low-teen Celsius city, with long-run summaries commonly placing highs around **12°C** and overnight lows near **9°C**.[16][17][18][19] That makes the relevant pricing question less about whether the airport gets warm and more about whether the station log contains a brief spike into the next bracket; for a power-user, the cleanest approach is to monitor successive observation timestamps, compare the running maximum against the settlement band, and avoid relying on forecast widgets that often round or display different reference values.[1][8][12]

The main catalysts are simple: any shift in the local wind, cloud and rain timing through the day can change the marginal maximum, and the market will settle only on what appears in Weather Underground’s station observations by the window close.[2][8][15] Wellington is currently forecast to stay cloudy, breezy and intermittently wet, which favours a ceiling in the low teens rather than a late spike, so a bot watching this market should prioritise the live observations feed and not the general forecast pages, which can diverge from the settlement source.[2][7][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

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