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Highest temperature in Singapore on May 26?

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Highest temperature in Singapore on May 26?" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Review UK.

0% YES 100% NO Volume: $91K Liquidity: $372K Closes: 26 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket Review UK Pick
polygram.ink
0% 100% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Polymarket Review UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
0% 100% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Polymarket Review UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Polymarket Review UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Polymarket Review UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Polymarket Review UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.

Active sub-markets

25°C or below0% YES100% NO
26°C0% YES100% NO
27°C0% YES100% NO
28°C0% YES100% NO
29°C0% YES100% NO
30°C0% YES100% NO

Market context

Singapore's equatorial climate produces consistent daily temperature patterns, with May sitting within the pre-monsoon transition period. The highest daily temperature at Changi Airport Station on 26 May 2026 will be measured and recorded by Wunderground's historical database, which aggregates official meteorological readings across all daylight and evening hours. This particular date falls outside any known regional weather events or anomalies that would create unusual volatility in typical May conditions.

Historical May data from Changi shows daily highs clustering between 32–34°C, with occasional peaks near 35°C during particularly intense afternoon heating. The 0% crowd probability suggests either market participants are awaiting resolution data before engaging, or the current range options don't align with expected outcomes. Comparable May 2024 and 2025 readings provide the most relevant baseline; checking Wunderground's archive for those dates reveals the distribution of outcomes traders should model. Programmatically, this resolves via automated API calls to Wunderground's historical weather endpoint once the settlement window closes at 12:00 UTC on 26 May.

Traders monitoring this market should track the Meteorological Service Singapore's seasonal forecasts and any published anomaly alerts for late May conditions. Real-time temperature feeds from Changi become actionable only in the final hours before settlement, making conditional order logic based on intraday readings more practical than early positioning. The resolution mechanism is deterministic and non-discretionary, reducing counterparty risk once Wunderground publishes the day's maximum reading.

Methodology

This page reviews Highest temperature in Singapore on May 26? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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