Highest temperature in Beijing on August 8?

Platform comparison

Market context

Beijing’s outcome here will be set by the **highest Celsius reading logged at Beijing Capital International Airport on 8 August**, using the Daily Observations table on Weather Underground rather than any headline “Day High & Low” figure. That makes it a good candidate for programmatic monitoring: a bot can poll the station page, extract the table values, and map the day’s peak into the market’s temperature bands as the afternoon data lands. On 8 August, the historical pattern in Beijing is for daytime highs around 30–31°C in August, with some years materially hotter, so a 0% YES price looks like a market that is either awaiting fresh data or pricing a bucket that currently appears out of range.[3][6][14]

Comparable August readings at Beijing have often clustered in the high 20s to low 30s °C, with long-run averages around 31°C and occasional hotter extremes above that level.[6][12][14] Recent weather-history pages also show Beijing moving through warm, humid conditions in early August, with one live history feed reporting 82°F at Beijing Capital International Airport on 8 August in the morning UTC window, which is consistent with a warm but not necessarily exceptional day.[4][19] For a trader using conditional orders or copy-trading tools, the key historical lesson is that the market’s eventual bucket will usually depend on whether the day reaches an afternoon spike or remains capped by cloud, rain, or weaker sunshine.

The main catalysts to watch are the airport station’s midday and afternoon observation updates, because Beijing’s daily maximum often arrives later in the local day, not in the morning UTC snapshots.[1][4] Weather Underground’s history page for Beijing is the settlement source, so any discrepancy between a summary high and the detailed observations table should be resolved in favour of the latter.[16] If you are automating this, the practical dependency chain is simple: pull the station observations, normalise Celsius values, track the highest printed reading up to the settlement cut-off, and avoid using third-party summaries that may lag or round differently.[16]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

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UK Frequently Asked Questions

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