# of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MrBeast Gaming next needs to publish a video, and the market settles on its first 24-hour view total on the channel’s YouTube page. The 0% crowd-implied YES price suggests traders are effectively ruling out the relevant bracket outcome, which is notable because the channel’s own banner says it posts “every single Saturday at noon eastern time”, a cadence that gives programmatic traders a clear schedule input for bots, conditional orders, and monitoring rules.[3]

For framing, the closest read-through is not the broader MrBeast brand but the upload pattern and recent channel-level engagement. A typical day-one distribution for a creator at this scale is highly skewed: once a video lands in recommendations, early velocity matters more than later accumulation, so a model built for this market would watch the first hours rather than extrapolate from day-seven totals. When MrBeast-related properties are in release mode, attention can also be pulled away from the gaming channel; *Beast Games* season two ran from 7 January to 25 February 2026, which is relevant because flagship TV promotion can shift upload timing and audience focus across the wider brand stack.[1][2][9]

The main catalysts to watch are straightforward to automate: whether the Saturday upload appears on time, whether the channel deviates from its stated weekly pattern, and whether there is any spillover from the wider MrBeast schedule. The *Beast Games* site says the franchise was renewed after hitting 50 million viewers in 25 days, underlining that MrBeast properties can generate large, concentrated bursts of attention when a release is active.[7] For a trader using tooling, the practical trigger is the actual publish timestamp on the gaming channel, then a 24-hour view scraper or API poll to confirm the resolution bracket once the window closes.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.