Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev | 100% Nursulton Ruziboev | 0% Andrey Pulyaev |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ruziboev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pulyaev to win by KO/TKO? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Nursulton Ruziboev, a 32-year-old middleweight with a 36-9-2 record, faces Andrey Pulyaev, who holds a 10-4-0 slate, in the prelims of UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres tonight in Baku. The bout is scheduled for June 27, 2026, with Ruziboev entering as the clear favourite despite the market currently showing a 0% implied probability for Pulyaev winning. For a power-user deploying conditional orders or copy-trading bots, this setup demands a programmatic approach that treats the 0% figure not as a certainty but as a liquidity gap requiring immediate validation against live fight data feeds.
Historically, similar mismatches in prelims have seen underdogs win via late knockouts or referee errors, yet the 0% probability here aligns with cases where the favourite’s record and experience vastly outweigh the opponent’s, such as Ruziboev’s 36 wins versus Pulyaev’s 10. Comparable cases from UFC Baku events show that when a fighter like Ruziboev, with a 36-9-2 record and two no-contests, faces a less experienced opponent, the market often reflects a near-zero chance for the underdog, though programmatic traders should monitor for any sudden shifts in pre-fight odds that could signal undisclosed injuries or weight-cut issues.
Traders must watch for official UFC announcements regarding fight start times, medical suspensions, or any changes to the prelims schedule, as these dependencies directly impact settlement before the window closes on June 28, 2026. A recent ESPN MMA profile confirms Pulyaev’s 6'4" height and 186 lbs weight, but no news source has yet reported a significant shift in the fight dynamics, meaning the catalyst for any market movement will likely be live in-fight commentary or post-fight official declarations from the UFC. For conditional order systems, the key is to set triggers on real-time odds updates rather than static probabilities, ensuring the bot reacts to any unexpected volatility in the market.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?
- Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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