Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee

Platform comparison

Market context

The underlying event is the qualification match at the Livesport Prague Open between Australian Priscilla Hon and American Carol Young Suh Lee, originally slated for 4:00AM ET on 19 July 2026. Live scoring data confirms the match has already concluded with Carol Young Suh Lee defeating Priscilla Hon 2–0, meaning Hon has not advanced [1]. The current crowd-implied probability of 0% for Hon aligns precisely with this settled result, rendering the market effectively resolved despite the technical settlement window extending into 2026.

Historically, prediction markets on tennis matches that conclude before the settlement deadline resolve instantly once official score data is ingested, bypassing the need for the full 7-day delay clause. Comparable cases from WTA qualification rounds show that when a match ends in a straight-set loss, the probability for the losing player collapses to zero within minutes of the final ball, as the outcome is binary and indisputable. Programmatic traders using copy-trading bots or conditional orders would have already executed exit positions or hedged against the 50-50 cancellation clause, as the match was played and not cancelled.

Traders monitoring this market should watch for official WTA confirmation of the result on the tournament’s match centre, which serves as the primary settlement catalyst. No further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies are relevant since the match is complete. The only remaining risk is a data ingestion lag where the platform might temporarily display the 50-50 default if the result is not yet verified, but this is unlikely given the clear 0–2 scoreline. A recent update from Tennis Majors confirms the final score, providing the definitive source for resolution [1].

Sources: 1

Methodology

We track Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Carol Young Suh Lee across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.