Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
Market context
Henrique Rocha’s Roland Garros qualifying match against Borna Gojo is the live event behind this market, and the current 100% YES price implies the result is already effectively known by the time traders are pricing it. For anyone wiring alerts or conditional orders into a bot, the practical question is not match strength but settlement status: whether a completed result has been posted, or whether the contest falls into one of the market’s exception paths. In comparable Grand Slam qualifying markets, the biggest source of error is not the tennis itself but the status feed — suspended, abandoned, not played, or completed after an administrative delay.
The key reference point is that Roland Garros’ official player page shows Gojo defeating Rocha 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 in a completed qualifying match on Court 8, taking 2h27. That is the sort of official-source confirmation a programmatic trader should prioritise over live score widgets, because market resolution usually tracks the final completed outcome rather than interim scoreboard states. If your tooling watches multiple feeds, the safest setup is to trigger only on a final result from the tournament or a reliable aggregator, then reconcile against the 7-day settlement window.
What to watch now is not a pre-match surprise but any administrative override: an official correction, a voided result, or evidence the fixture was never fully played. Recent live listings from score services and the Roland Garros site both point to the same completed result, so the main dependency is simply whether the market administrator accepts that finalisation without dispute. In practice, this is the kind of market where stale delay logic matters more than price discovery: once the result is posted, the remaining edge is in avoiding false positives from incomplete or pre-final data.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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