Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Karl Poling and Andre Ilagan are scheduled to compete in a professional tennis match in Tyler on 6 June 2026 at 12:30 PM ET. The match will determine who advances in the tournament bracket. Settlement occurs on 13 June 2026 at 16:30 UTC, allowing a seven-day window for completion; matches delayed beyond that threshold without a decided winner trigger a 50-50 resolution, as do walkovers or retirements after play begins.

The 0% implied probability reflects limited historical trading activity or data availability on both players within prediction market infrastructure. Comparable lower-tier professional tennis matches typically show sparse liquidity until 48–72 hours before scheduled play, when ATP or ITF rankings updates and injury reports circulate through sports news feeds. For programmatic traders, this represents a data-sourcing challenge: conventional APIs covering ATP rankings and live scores may not capture Tyler-level tournaments comprehensively, requiring manual verification against ITF databases or tournament-specific feeds.

Traders monitoring this match should track ITF tournament schedules and player withdrawal announcements, which typically emerge via official tournament websites or the ITF's public calendar. Weather disruptions in Texas during early June could trigger delays; conditional order logic should account for the seven-day grace period before resolution shifts to 50-50. Player injury reports or late scratches often surface on social media or local sports outlets 24–48 hours before match time, creating opportunities for sharp traders to adjust positions before broader market repricing occurs.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.