Plovdiv: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Maxim Mrva

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Tommaso Compagnucci meets Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv Challenger, with the live listings putting the match for 22 June 2026 at 08:00 UTC. The market is already priced at **100% YES**, so a programmatic trader would treat it as a near-certain fill unless the event status changes or the exchange reprices on a late withdrawal, walkover, or suspension.[1][2]

For context, a 100% crowd price in tennis usually reflects either a match that is effectively confirmed to go ahead or a position where the remaining uncertainty is mostly about settlement mechanics rather than the winner. On a bot-driven setup, the useful check is not the headline probability but the match state: fixture confirmation, live start time, and whether one player is listed as advanced on the tournament or scoreboard feed. The ATP head-to-head page exists for the pairing, but the available result set here does not show a prior rivalry record, so the market should be read as an event-specific binary rather than a history-led one.[3][4]

The main catalysts to watch are administrative rather than tactical: official start updates, any draw reshuffle, and whether either player is marked as a withdrawal, walkover, or retirement. Because the market resolves 50-50 if the match is not played or is delayed beyond seven days, a copy-trading or conditional-order workflow should prioritise status polling over price signals, with the key dependency being whether a winner is recorded before the settlement window closes.[1][6][7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.