Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew Set 1 Winner | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon wta: alycia parks vs mananchaya sawangkaew. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Alycia Parks and Mananchaya Sawangkaew in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will re…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $210K.
Methodology
We track Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew on Polymarket Review UK
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