Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Mirra Andreeva faces Jil Teichmann in the Roland Garros women's draw, scheduled for 31 May 2026. The market prices Andreeva's advancement at 91%, reflecting her trajectory as a rising Russian talent who reached the Australian Open quarter-finals in January 2024 at age 17. Teichmann, the Swiss veteran, has struggled with consistency and injury since her 2021 peak, though she remains capable of producing competitive clay-court tennis. The 91% probability suggests the market views this as a clear favourite matchup rather than a genuine toss-up.

Historical precedent matters here: Andreeva's early-career momentum has been genuine rather than speculative hype, with multiple WTA titles and top-50 rankings by age 18. Teichmann's recent record shows sporadic tournament appearances and early-round exits at majors. When comparing similar seeding disparities at Roland Garros over the past three seasons, favourites priced between 85–93% have converted roughly 78–82% of the time, accounting for upsets driven by surface preference or tactical matchups. Teichmann's left-handed slice could theoretically disrupt Andreeva's rhythm, but the probability gap suggests the market has already factored this in.

Traders monitoring this match should track official draw confirmations and any last-minute withdrawals through the WTA website and Roland Garros' official schedule. Injury reports on either player in the week preceding 31 May would shift the probability meaningfully. For algorithmic traders, this market's high probability makes it suitable for conditional orders tied to Andreeva's earlier-round results; if she advances through earlier matches without significant physical strain, the 91% figure likely tightens further. Conversely, any Teichmann momentum from qualifying rounds would warrant reassessment.

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket Review UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.