Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Other | — | |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 83% YES | 18% NO |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Song Yadong | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Rob Font | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Pedro Munhoz | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Petr Yan, the former UFC bantamweight champion, requires an official UFC announcement with a confirmed fight date to trigger resolution. The Russian fighter's next opponent remains unscheduled as of late 2024, though his recent activity in the 135-pound division keeps him in active contention for matchmaking. Any announcement lacking a specific date—whether from social media, fighter interviews, or unofficial sources—will not satisfy settlement criteria, making this a market dependent on formal UFC press releases or fighter roster updates.
Historical precedent suggests bantamweight title contenders typically receive matchmaking announcements within 60–90 days of their previous bout's conclusion. Yan's trajectory following losses to Sean O'Malley and Usman Nurmagomedov indicates the UFC may position him against rising contenders or former champions seeking redemption. Comparable markets tracking fighter matchups show that official announcements often cluster around UFC Fight Night cards or pay-per-view events, with the organisation typically confirming bouts 4–6 weeks before event dates.
Traders should monitor UFC's official social channels, fighter roster updates, and press releases from Dana White or the promotion's matchmaking team. Recent reporting from MMA Junkie and ESPN's MMA section provides real-time fight announcement coverage. The resolution window extends to end-2026, providing substantial time for multiple potential matchups. Programmatically, setting alerts on UFC's official announcement feeds and cross-referencing fighter social media against official UFC confirmation will filter noise from speculation, critical for distinguishing valid resolution events from unconfirmed rumours.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.1M.
Methodology
This page reviews Who will Petr Yan fight next? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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