Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 67% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 66% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 65% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 56% |
| Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5) | 54% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 53% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 53% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+3.5) | 51% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 46% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 46% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 46% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-4.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+4.5) | 45% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 38% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 34% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 33% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 33% |
| Map 1 Winner | 27% |
| Map 2 Winner | 26% |
| Match Winner | 20% |
Market context
Market consensus: 67% chance of valorant: evil geniuses vs mibr (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Evil Geniuses and MIBR in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 8:00PM ET. This market will res…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas… on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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