Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket Review UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket Review UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket Review UK.
Active sub-markets
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 100% Paper Rex | 0% EDward Gaming |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-3.5) vs EDward Gaming (+3.5) | 0% Paper Rex | 100% EDward Gaming |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
EDward Gaming and Paper Rex are contesting the upper-bracket final at VCT Masters London, a best-of-three that was scheduled for 19 June and was meant to decide who moved straight into the grand final. For a programmatic trader, the clean read is that the market should have been driven by live start confirmation, then map-by-map result feeds, because once the match is underway the settlement logic depends on completion rather than pre-match sentiment.[3][7]
The market’s 0% YES implies no executed outcome had been recognised on the venue feed when it was priced, but comparable cases suggest that crowd signals can lag official results in fast-moving esports brackets. EDward Gaming and Paper Rex have already produced a tight series in London, with one source showing EDG taking Breeze 15-13 and another showing Paper Rex winning the match 2-1 and advancing to the final, which is the sort of result conflict that usually gets cleared by the event organiser rather than by social clips or community posts.[1][2][4][6]
A trader watching this mechanically would track the organiser’s bracket page, the match lobby status, and any revised broadcast schedule, because cancellation, a no-show, or a delay beyond the seven-day settlement window would push the market to 50-50 under the stated rules. Recent post-match and highlight uploads indicate the fixture has been active on 19 June and the winner advanced to the grand final, so the key dependency is whether the market resolver has ingested the official completed-series result rather than an interrupted or incomplete state.[2][6][7]
Methodology
We track Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket Review UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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