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UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic 100% Fight won by submission? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Fight to Go the Distance? 0% Volume: $539K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic100%
Fight won by submission?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Luciano to win by KO/TKO?0%
Spasic to win by KO/TKO?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%

Market context

The UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market will resolve to "Stephanie Luciano" if Stephanie Luciano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Marina Spasic at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August …

Live Data & Statistics

SLUCIANO 00 MSPASI Final

The Polymarket order book prices Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic 100% Other 0%

The order book shows 100% YES / 0% NO for this match. Compared to ESPN-listed sportsbook lines, Polymarket typically reflects faster market adjustment since participants are self-selected sophisticated traders. Trading volume: $539K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports UFC Prediction Markets