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UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% O/U 1.5 Rounds 100% O/U 2.5 Rounds 100% Volume: $510K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight to Go the Distance?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
O/U 1.5 Rounds100%
O/U 2.5 Rounds100%
Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara0%
Fight won by KO/TKO?0%
Lemos to win by KO/TKO?0%
Thainara to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, ufc fight night: amanda lemos vs. alexia thainara (women's strawweight, prelims) stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market will resolve to "Amanda Lemos" if Amanda Lemos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexia Thainara at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight to Go the Distance? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)".

Fight to Go the Distance? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $510K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (W… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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