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Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Shakira 99% Coldplay 99% Justin Bieber 99% BTS 99% Volume: $523K Liquidity: $334K Closes: 19 Jul 2026
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Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Shakira99%
Coldplay99%
Justin Bieber99%
BTS99%
Burna Boy98%
Sabrina Carpenter14%
Maluma7%
Tems7%
Drake6%
Camila Cabello6%
Lady Gaga5%
Jennifer Lopez5%
Wizkid5%
The Weeknd4%
J Balvin4%
Dua Lipa4%
Cardi B4%
Rauw Alejandro3%
Post Malone3%
Travis Scott3%
Charli XCX3%
Peso Pluma3%
Calvin Harris3%
Rihanna2%
Bad Bunny2%
Taylor Swift2%
Karol G2%
Ed Sheeran2%
Rosalía2%
Bruno Mars2%
Billie Eilish2%
Ariana Grande2%
Daddy Yankee2%
Kendrick Lamar2%
Jay-Z2%
Eminem2%
Olivia Rodrigo2%
Nicki Minaj2%
Adele2%
Sam Smith2%
Feid2%
Davido2%
David Guetta2%
Beyoncé1%
Pitbull1%
Harry Styles1%
Chappell Roan1%
SZA1%
Myke Towers1%
Anuel AA1%
Ozuna0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 99% probability to who will perform at world cup halftime show?. FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. T…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
James WilliamsJames WilliamsPrediction Market AnalystandDavid ParkDavid ParkSports Data Analyst

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