Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bologna travel to the San Siro on 24 May 2026 to face Internazionale in a fixture scheduled for the final day of the Serie A season. The 26% implied probability of a Bologna victory reflects the substantial gap in recent form and squad depth between the two clubs. Inter finished second in 2024–25 and remain favourites for the title race, whilst Bologna, despite their resurgence under recent management, typically occupy mid-table positions. A win for the visitors would represent a significant upset on the road against one of Italy's strongest sides.

Historical context matters here. Over the past five seasons, Bologna have won just two matches against Inter across all competitions, with both teams' trajectories diverging sharply since 2020. Inter's consistency in European competition and domestic dominance has widened the gap considerably. When evaluating comparable fixtures—mid-table sides visiting top-four contenders on the final day—outcomes cluster heavily toward the favourite, particularly when title implications remain live. The 26% probability sits slightly above the empirical baseline for such matchups, suggesting modest confidence in Bologna's chances rather than an outlier assessment.

Traders monitoring this market should track injury bulletins from both camps through May, particularly Inter's defensive availability and Bologna's attacking options. Fixture congestion in the preceding weeks could affect squad rotation decisions; if Inter secure the title early, Simone Inzaghi may rest key players, materially shifting match dynamics. Official team news typically emerges 48–72 hours before kick-off. Conditional orders tied to Inter's title status or Bologna's European qualification fate would allow programmatic position adjustment as late-season developments crystallise.

Methodology

This page reviews Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.