Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 96% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 96% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 95% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 89% |
| Matthew Golden: Anytime Touchdown | 88% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 87% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 86% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 86% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 85% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 84% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 84% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 82% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 82% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 82% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 82% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 81% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 80% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 80% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 79% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 79% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 79% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 77% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 74% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 71% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 71% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 71% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 70% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 69% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 68% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 67% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 65% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 64% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 61% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 59% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 56% |
| Matthew Golden: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 56% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 54% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 53% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 53% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 52% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Christian Watson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| Matthew Golden: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| George Pickens: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jordan Love: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| George Pickens: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Attempts O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Completions O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Dak Prescott: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| George Pickens: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jake Ferguson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jordan Love: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Tucker Kraft: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Longest Reception O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bo Melton: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Jonathan Mingo: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Jonnu Smith: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Josh Whyle: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Mark Redman: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Team First TD (Green Bay Packers) | 50% |
| Tyler Goodson: Team First TD (Dallas Cowboys) | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bo Melton: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Javonte Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 48% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 46% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 45% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 44% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 44% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 40% |
| George Pickens: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 40% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 38% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 38% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown | 37% |
| George Pickens: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 35% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 35% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 34% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 34% |
| Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 33% |
| Matthew Golden: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 33% |
| Javonte Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 33% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 32% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 32% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 31% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 28% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 28% |
| Javonte Williams: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 25% |
| Christian Watson: 2+ Touchdowns | 24% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 23% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 23% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 22% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receiving Yards O/U 119.5 | 22% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 22% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 21% |
| Christian Watson: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 21% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown | 21% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 20% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| J. Michael Sturdivant: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 19% |
| Christian Watson: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Josh Whyle: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Mark Redman: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 19% |
| Javonte Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 18% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Matthew Golden: 2+ Touchdowns | 17% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 16% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 349.5 | 15% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| Dak Prescott: Anytime Touchdown | 15% |
| CeeDee Lamb: Receptions O/U 9.5 | 15% |
| Jordan Love: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 14% |
| Pierre Strong Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Bo Melton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 13% |
| Tucker Kraft: Anytime Touchdown | 13% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 12% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Jake Ferguson: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| CeeDee Lamb: 2+ Touchdowns | 12% |
| Tyler Goodson: Anytime Touchdown | 12% |
| Matthew Golden: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 12% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Yards O/U 374.5 | 11% |
| Dak Prescott: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Javonte Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 11% |
| Tucker Kraft: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 11% |
| Jake Ferguson: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| Ryan Flournoy: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Luke Schoonmaker: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| KaVontae Turpin: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| MarShawn Lloyd: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Jordan Love: Anytime Touchdown | 5% |
| Dak Prescott: 2+ Touchdowns | 4% |
| Jonnu Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Kaleb Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 4% |
| Tucker Kraft: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Cowboys and Packers, scheduled for October 18 at 8:20 PM ET.
Methodology
We track Cowboys vs. Packers - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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