Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 25.5 | 94% |
| O/U 27.5 | 92% |
| O/U 26.5 | 92% |
| Bengals O/U 10.5 | 92% |
| O/U 29.5 | 89% |
| O/U 30.5 | 89% |
| O/U 28.5 | 88% |
| Steelers O/U 10.5 | 83% |
| O/U 31.5 | 82% |
| O/U 32.5 | 80% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 78% |
| O/U 33.5 | 77% |
| O/U 35.5 | 73% |
| O/U 34.5 | 73% |
| O/U 36.5 | 69% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 12.5 | 69% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 10.5 | 68% |
| O/U 37.5 | 64% |
| Bengals vs. Steelers | 63% |
| Spread -0.5 | 63% |
| O/U 38.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 60% |
| O/U 39.5 | 60% |
| 1H Moneyline | 60% |
| Bengals O/U 20.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 57% |
| O/U 40.5 | 56% |
| O/U 41.5 | 53% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 52% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Bengals O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Steelers O/U 19.5 | 51% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 25+ | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 19-24 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 13-18 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 7-12 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Bengals by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-6 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-13 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 14-20 | 50% |
| Exact Margin: Steelers by 21+ | 50% |
| Safety? | 50% |
| Team to Record Longest FG | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 50% |
| Bengals Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Bengals vs. Steelers: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Bengals Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Steelers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Bengals O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| Steelers O/U 34.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bengals 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Steelers 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| O/U 42.5 | 49% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 49% |
| Bengals 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Bengals O/U 23.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 47% |
| O/U 43.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 45% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 45% |
| Spread -5.5 | 44% |
| O/U 44.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| Steelers O/U 20.5 | 41% |
| Spread -6.5 | 40% |
| O/U 45.5 | 39% |
| O/U 46.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 35% |
| O/U 47.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| Spread -8.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 33% |
| O/U 48.5 | 32% |
| Spread -2.5 | 32% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| O/U 49.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 29% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 50.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 26% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 26% |
| O/U 51.5 | 25% |
| Spread -13.5 | 23% |
| Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| Spread -5.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 23% |
| O/U 52.5 | 22% |
| Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 21% |
| O/U 53.5 | 20% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| O/U 54.5 | 19% |
| Spread -16.5 | 17% |
| Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 55.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 14% |
| O/U 56.5 | 14% |
| O/U 57.5 | 13% |
| Spread -9.5 | 13% |
| Spread -10.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 11% |
| O/U 58.5 | 11% |
| O/U 59.5 | 10% |
| Spread -20.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| O/U 60.5 | 9% |
| O/U 61.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| O/U 63.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| O/U 65.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -19.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| O/U 62.5 | 6% |
| O/U 64.5 | 5% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
The Bengals vs. Steelers prediction market currently prices this outcome at 95% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Bengals wins, the market will resolve to "Bengals". If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If the game is postpo…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $254K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Bengals vs. Steelers on Polymarket Review UK
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