Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 96% |
| O/U 215.5 | 95% |
| O/U 217.5 | 94% |
| O/U 219.5 | 93% |
| O/U 221.5 | 91% |
| O/U 223.5 | 88% |
| O/U 225.5 | 85% |
| Bulls O/U 110.5 | 84% |
| O/U 227.5 | 83% |
| Wizards O/U 110.5 | 83% |
| O/U 229.5 | 80% |
| Bulls O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| Wizards O/U 112.5 | 79% |
| O/U 230.5 | 78% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 78% |
| O/U 231.5 | 76% |
| Bulls O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| Wizards O/U 114.5 | 74% |
| O/U 233.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 70% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 70% |
| O/U 235.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 69% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 69% |
| Bulls O/U 116.5 | 69% |
| 1Q O/U 57.5 | 68% |
| Wizards O/U 116.5 | 67% |
| O/U 236.5 | 66% |
| O/U 237.5 | 65% |
| Bulls O/U 118.5 | 63% |
| O/U 238.5 | 62% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 61% |
| Wizards O/U 118.5 | 61% |
| O/U 239.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 60% |
| Bulls O/U 120.5 | 57% |
| O/U 241.5 | 56% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 56% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| Wizards O/U 120.5 | 55% |
| O/U 242.5 | 54% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 51.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 53.5 | 53% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 53% |
| O/U 243.5 | 52% |
| 1Q O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 51% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.5 | 51% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 59.5 | 51% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls O/U 122.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Wizards O/U 134.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Bulls 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Wizards 2H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| O/U 244.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 49% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 49% |
| Wizards vs. Bulls | 48% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 48% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.5 | 48% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.5 | 47% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| 1Q O/U 63.5 | 47% |
| Wizards O/U 122.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 46% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 46% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 39.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 46% |
| O/U 246.5 | 45% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 45% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Spread -3.5 | 44% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.5 | 44% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| Bulls O/U 124.5 | 44% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 34.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 43% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.5 | 42% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 41% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| Wizards O/U 124.5 | 41% |
| Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| O/U 249.5 | 39% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.5 | 39% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Bulls O/U 126.5 | 38% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.5 | 37% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 36% |
| Spread -6.5 | 35% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| O/U 252.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 34% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 64.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.5 | 33% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 33% |
| Bulls O/U 128.5 | 33% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 20.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 32% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.5 | 31% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| Bulls 1H O/U 66.5 | 29% |
| Spread -8.5 | 28% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.5 | 28% |
| Bulls O/U 130.5 | 28% |
| Spread -9.5 | 27% |
| O/U 255.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 65.5 | 27% |
| Wizards 1H O/U 66.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 26% |
| Wizards O/U 130.5 | 26% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5 | 24% |
| Spread -9.5 | 23% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 22% |
| Bulls O/U 132.5 | 22% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 21% |
| Spread -11.5 | 20% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 24.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Spread -12.5 | 19% |
| Wizards O/U 132.5 | 19% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.5 | 18% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 18% |
| Spread -12.5 | 17% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 17% |
| 1H O/U 137.5 | 17% |
| Bulls O/U 134.5 | 17% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 139.5 | 16% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -13.5 | 14% |
| Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.5 | 14% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 13% |
| 1H O/U 141.5 | 13% |
| Spread -15.5 | 12% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 12% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Spread -18.5 | 10% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| Trae Young: Points O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.5 | 10% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 9% |
| Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -19.5 | 8% |
| Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.5 | 8% |
| Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.5 | 8% |
| Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 7% |
| Spread -22.5 | 6% |
| Spread -21.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -23.5 | 5% |
| Spread -25.5 | 5% |
| Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.5 | 5% |
| Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 5% |
| Spread -24.5 | 4% |
| Spread -26.5 | 4% |
| Spread -29.5 | 3% |
| Spread -27.5 | 2% |
Market context
The Wizards vs. Bulls prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $226K.
Methodology
We track Wizards vs. Bulls across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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