Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 202.5 | 96% |
| O/U 204.5 | 95% |
| O/U 206.5 | 94% |
| O/U 208.5 | 94% |
| O/U 210.5 | 93% |
| O/U 212.5 | 92% |
| O/U 214.5 | 88% |
| 76ers O/U 112.5 | 86% |
| O/U 216.5 | 85% |
| O/U 218.5 | 82% |
| Bucks O/U 100.5 | 81% |
| Spread -2.5 | 80% |
| O/U 220.5 | 79% |
| 1H O/U 107.5 | 77% |
| Spread -4.5 | 75% |
| 1Q O/U 48.5 | 75% |
| O/U 222.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 74% |
| 76ers O/U 116.5 | 74% |
| O/U 224.5 | 72% |
| 1H O/U 103.5 | 72% |
| 1Q O/U 50.5 | 71% |
| 1H O/U 109.5 | 70% |
| Bucks O/U 104.5 | 70% |
| Spread -6.5 | 69% |
| 1H O/U 111.5 | 69% |
| 76ers O/U 118.5 | 68% |
| O/U 226.5 | 67% |
| 1H O/U 105.5 | 67% |
| Spread -7.5 | 66% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 65% |
| Spread -8.5 | 64% |
| O/U 228.5 | 64% |
| Bucks O/U 106.5 | 64% |
| 1Q O/U 56.5 | 63% |
| 76ers O/U 120.5 | 62% |
| Spread -9.5 | 61% |
| O/U 230.5 | 60% |
| 1H O/U 113.5 | 60% |
| 76ers O/U 130.5 | 60% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 54.5 | 59% |
| Spread -10.5 | 58% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 3.5 | 58% |
| Bucks O/U 108.5 | 58% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| O/U 232.5 | 56% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 9.5 | 56% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 55.5 | 56% |
| 76ers O/U 122.5 | 56% |
| Spread -11.5 | 55% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 19.5 | 55% |
| 1H O/U 115.5 | 54% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | 53% |
| Bucks O/U 98.5 | 53% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 9.5 | 52% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Bucks O/U 110.5 | 52% |
| O/U 234.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 51% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 51% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Jaylen Brown: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ryan Rollins: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Joel Embiid: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Myles Turner: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks O/U 120.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 66.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 1H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Bucks 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 1H O/U 65.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 62.5 | 50% |
| 76ers 2H O/U 64.5 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 20.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 49% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 24.5 | 49% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 49% |
| 76ers O/U 124.5 | 49% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 34.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 48% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 39.5 | 48% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 48% |
| 76ers O/U 136.5 | 48% |
| Spread -13.5 | 47% |
| O/U 236.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 47% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 1.5 | 47% |
| 1H O/U 117.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 46% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 3.5 | 45% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Bucks O/U 112.5 | 45% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 9.5 | 44% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 34.5 | 44% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 39.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 44% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 44% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 44% |
| 76ers O/U 114.5 | 44% |
| Spread -14.5 | 43% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 43% |
| Bucks O/U 102.5 | 43% |
| O/U 238.5 | 42% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 14.5 | 42% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 41% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 41% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Spread -15.5 | 40% |
| 1H O/U 119.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.5 | 40% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| 1Q O/U 60.5 | 40% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Bucks O/U 114.5 | 39% |
| Spread -16.5 | 38% |
| O/U 240.5 | 38% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 3.5 | 38% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 24.5 | 37% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 37% |
| 1H O/U 121.5 | 37% |
| 2Q O/U 59.5 | 37% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Spread -17.5 | 36% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 24.5 | 36% |
| O/U 242.5 | 35% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 29.5 | 35% |
| 1H O/U 123.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Bucks O/U 116.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 34% |
| Spread -18.5 | 33% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| 2Q O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 31% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 30% |
| O/U 244.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 29% |
| 1Q O/U 62.5 | 29% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| Bucks O/U 118.5 | 28% |
| Spread -20.5 | 27% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| 2Q O/U 63.5 | 27% |
| O/U 246.5 | 26% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 7.5 | 26% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| O/U 248.5 | 24% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -22.5 | 23% |
| 1H Moneyline | 23% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 23% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 21% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 3.5 | 21% |
| 1H O/U 125.5 | 21% |
| O/U 250.5 | 20% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| 1H O/U 127.5 | 20% |
| Spread -24.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 24.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 5.5 | 19% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 19% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 19% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 129.5 | 19% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| 1H O/U 131.5 | 18% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 18% |
| Bucks O/U 122.5 | 18% |
| 76ers O/U 134.5 | 18% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 14.5 | 17% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 5.5 | 17% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 17% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| Bucks vs. 76ers | 16% |
| Spread -26.5 | 16% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 16% |
| 1H O/U 133.5 | 16% |
| 76ers O/U 132.5 | 16% |
| Spread -1.5 | 14% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Points O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 5.5 | 14% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 14% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| 1H O/U 135.5 | 14% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 14.5 | 13% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Spread -28.5 | 12% |
| Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 29.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 12% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: Points O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 11% |
| Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Tyler Herro: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| Tyrese Maxey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 11% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 11% |
| Spread -3.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 10% |
| Spread -30.5 | 9% |
| Spread -5.5 | 9% |
| Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Ryan Rollins: Assists O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 9% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 9% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 9% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 7.5 | 8% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| Spread -32.5 | 7% |
| Spread -7.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 19.5 | 7% |
| Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 7.5 | 7% |
| VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Ryan Rollins: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -25.5 | 7% |
| Spread -34.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 24.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: Points O/U 19.5 | 6% |
| Tyrese Maxey: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5 | 6% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Jaylen Brown: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Joel Embiid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Kyle Kuzma: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| Myles Turner: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| VJ Edgecombe: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Spread -9.5 | 5% |
| Spread -38.5 | 4% |
| Spread -11.5 | 4% |
| Spread -40.5 | 3% |
| Spread -13.5 | 3% |
| Spread -15.5 | 2% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to bucks vs. 76ers. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 7:30PM ET: If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the 76ers win, the market will resolve to "76ers". If the game is postponed, t…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $150K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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Trade Bucks vs. 76ers on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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