Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Cleveland Cavaliers visit the New York Knicks in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference finals, with New York leading the series 1-0 after a 115-104 overtime win in the opener. The market’s 54% crowd-implied “YES” price is close to a coin flip, which is typical for a single game in a playoff series where home court, rest, and injury news can move the line more than broader season form. For a programmatic workflow, this is the sort of market where a trader would usually anchor around the spread and moneyline rather than the series score, then update quickly if the closing number drifts off the opener.

Comparable playoff spots show that an early series lead does not make the next game a clean continuation of the previous result. New York’s Game 1 edge came in overtime, which matters for models that weight fatigue and bench usage in a compressed turnaround. ESPN’s pregame listing has the Knicks as 6.5-point favourites with a total of 214.5, while other market snapshots are close at 216.5, suggesting a fairly stable pricing band rather than a major information shock. That kind of range is useful for copy-trading or conditional orders, because it implies the market is sensitive to late team news but not yet to a decisive consensus.

The main catalysts are the final injury report, any pre-match confirmation on minutes limits, and whether the betting market continues to hold the Knicks as a strong home favourite after Game 1. Brunson’s 38-point opener is the obvious headline input, but the practical trigger for a bot or alert stack is whether Cleveland can respond against New York’s home defence without a line move that sharpens the favourite price further. Since the market settles on the final score, including overtime, any trader using automated entries would normally keep an eye on live rotation updates and late scratch risk right up to tip-off.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.