Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
76% | 24% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
76% | 24% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 213.5 | 76% |
| O/U 216.5 | 70% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 14.5 | 69% |
| O/U 219.5 | 65% |
| O/U 222.5 | 57% |
| Hawks vs. Hornets | 56% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 5.5 | 55% |
| O/U 224.5 | 54% |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 19.5 | 52% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 116.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| O/U 226.5 | 49% |
| Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 3.5 | 49% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -3.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 48% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 48% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| O/U 227.5 | 47% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 9.5 | 46% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 46% |
| Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5 | 45% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 18.5 | 43% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| O/U 230.5 | 42% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 42% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 41% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 24.5 | 41% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5 | 40% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Brandon Miller: Assists O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 4.5 | 39% |
| Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| O/U 232.5 | 37% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 37% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 5.5 | 36% |
| Spread -7.5 | 35% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 35% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 9.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 24.5 | 34% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 33% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| CJ McCollum: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5 | 32% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 235.5 | 31% |
| Dennis Schröder: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 30% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 34.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 29% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 29% |
| Moussa Diabaté: Points O/U 8.5 | 28% |
| Sion James: Points O/U 7.5 | 28% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 16.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 39.5 | 28% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 28% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Sion James: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 27% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 27% |
| O/U 238.5 | 26% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 25% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 25% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 14.5 | 24% |
| Naz Reid: Assists O/U 3.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 23% |
| CJ McCollum: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Assists O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 19.5 | 22% |
| CJ McCollum: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Spread -13.5 | 21% |
| O/U 241.5 | 21% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 19.5 | 20% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 20% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 20% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 19% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Dennis Schröder: Assists O/U 7.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 11.5 | 18% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 17% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 17% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 16% |
| Spread -11.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Johnson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 15% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Dennis Schröder: Points O/U 19.5 | 13% |
| Naz Reid: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 9.5 | 13% |
| Dennis Schröder: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 12% |
| Dyson Daniels: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 12% |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| CJ McCollum: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Onyeka Okongwu: Points O/U 19.5 | 11% |
| Jalen Johnson: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| Naz Reid: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 10% |
| Dyson Daniels: Points O/U 19.5 | 9% |
| Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 29.5 | 9% |
| Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 8% |
Market context
The Hawks vs. Hornets prediction market currently prices this outcome at 76% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postpone…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $87K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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