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CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 93% CF Montréal O/U 0.5 88% O/U 1.5 76% Toronto FC O/U 0.5 72% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $396K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
CF Montréal O/U 0.588%
O/U 1.576%
Toronto FC O/U 0.572%
2nd Half O/U 0.566%
2nd Half O/U 1.564%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Both Teams to Score56%
CF Montréal O/U 1.550%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half50%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 2.549%
CF Montréal 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
Toronto FC 2nd Half O/U 0.546%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 0.543%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 0.538%
2nd Half O/U 2.538%
Toronto FC O/U 1.533%
O/U 3.527%
CF Montréal (-1.5)21%
1st Half O/U 1.517%
CF Montréal O/U 2.517%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Toronto FC (-1.5)12%
O/U 4.512%
Toronto FC O/U 2.511%
CF Montréal 1st Half O/U 1.510%
CF Montréal (-2.5)8%
1st Half O/U 2.57%
Toronto FC 1st Half O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.55%
Toronto FC (-2.5)4%

Market context

Market consensus: 93% chance of cf montréal vs. toronto fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for July 16 at 7:30 PM ET.

Methodology

We track CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports