Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
77% | 23% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
77% | 23% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 77% |
| O/U 6.5 | 69% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| O/U 7.5 | 59% |
| O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| Spread -1.5 | 51% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| NRFI | 49% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers | 33% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 24% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 17% |
| Spread -2.5 | 16% |
| Extra Innings | 9% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, kansas city royals vs. detroit tigers stands at 77% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Detroit Tigers, scheduled for July 23 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $283K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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