Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
75% | 25% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
75% | 25% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 62% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox | 46% |
| O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 38% |
| Spread -1.5 | 34% |
| NRFI | 32% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 28% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 22% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Extra Innings | 10% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 75% YES probability for Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 9 at 2:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This ma…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.
Methodology
This page reviews Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Sox on Polymarket Review UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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