Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The Atlanta Braves face the New York Mets on 14 June at 1:40PM ET in a regular-season MLB fixture. The 1% crowd-implied probability for a Braves victory reflects either exceptionally strong Mets positioning or a significant mispricing relative to historical matchup data. For traders building conditional logic around this market, the settlement window extends to 21 June, providing a seven-day buffer for postponements—a material consideration given June's weather volatility in the eastern United States.

Historical head-to-head records between these National League East rivals show competitive balance across recent seasons, with neither team commanding consistent dominance in single-game outcomes. The current 1% probability suggests market participants are either pricing in a Mets pitching advantage of unusual magnitude or factoring in Braves roster absences. Comparable markets on same-day MLB matchups typically settle within 15–25% ranges for the underdog, making this extreme probability worth interrogating against available roster and injury data before execution.

Traders monitoring this market programmatically should track starting pitcher announcements and late-inning roster changes through official MLB channels and team press releases. The Braves' recent form, Mets bullpen availability, and any weather forecasts affecting game conditions warrant continuous data feeds into conditional order systems. Given the extended settlement window, automated monitoring for postponement notices becomes operationally relevant; cancellation without a make-up game would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of current pricing.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket Review UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket Review UK?

Zero. Polymarket Review UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.