LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

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Active sub-markets

Market context

T1 and Dplus KIA are scheduled to meet in a best-of-three League of Legends match during LCK Rounds 1-2 on 10 May at 04:00 ET. The fixture represents an early-season encounter in South Korea's premier competitive league, where both organisations field rosters competing for playoff positioning. Settlement depends on match completion by 17 May; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond that window triggers a 50-50 resolution, whilst forfeits or walkovers resolve to the benefiting team.

The 100% implied probability reflects T1's historical dominance in head-to-head matchups and their institutional consistency across roster iterations. T1 has won the majority of recent encounters against Dplus KIA, though the gap has narrowed as Dplus KIA strengthened their lineup. Comparable early-season LCK fixtures between top-tier organisations typically see the favourite priced at 65–75%, suggesting the current market may be overweighting T1's brand strength relative to current-season form data. Traders should cross-reference recent scrim results and patch-dependent champion pools, which significantly influence early-season outcomes.

Key catalysts include official roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions announced before the match window. The LCK schedule occasionally experiences delays due to technical issues or player illness; traders using conditional orders should monitor the official LCK broadcast schedule and team social media for postponement notices. Patch changes deployed in the week prior typically shift meta-dependent matchup dynamics, particularly affecting support and jungler synergies where T1 and Dplus KIA have historically differed in strategic approach.

Methodology

We track LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.