LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The CBLOL (Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends) Upper bracket final pits RED Canids against FURIA Esports in a best-of-five match scheduled for 24 May at 12:00 PM ET. This fixture determines which team advances directly to the grand final, making it the highest-stakes domestic competition in Brazilian League of Legends. The 0% implied probability suggests either a data lag, settlement ambiguity, or genuine uncertainty about match execution rather than outcome conviction.

Historical precedent from CBLOL playoffs shows fixture reliability has improved markedly since 2022, when scheduling delays plagued the circuit. Both RED Canids and FURIA maintain stable rosters and have completed their regular-season commitments without incident. The 7-day grace period for resolution creates a practical window: if the match shifts beyond 31 May without completion, traders face a 50-50 settlement. Programmatically, this introduces execution risk that conditional orders should account for—setting alerts tied to official CBLOL schedule announcements rather than relying on fixture timestamps alone.

Traders monitoring this market should track the official CBLOL broadcast schedule and team announcements for any player availability issues or technical infrastructure concerns. Recent regional esports disruptions have been minimal, though internet stability in Brazil occasionally affects broadcast integrity. The settlement mechanism's tie-resolution clause (50-50 payout) applies only if the match begins but remains undecided—a scenario unlikely given CBLOL's established format, but worth flagging in risk models. Confirmation of the 12:00 PM ET start time through official channels should precede any position entry.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.