LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Onion Team face eSuba in a best-of-three League of Legends fixture within the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, scheduled for 12 August at 15:00 BST. The match represents a standard regular season encounter in what appears to be a regional competitive circuit, with standard LoL ruleset applying across draft, gameplay, and victory conditions. Settlement occurs at 20:15 UTC on the scheduled date, allowing a five-hour window for completion.

The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme uncertainty about team strength differentials or sparse liquidity in this particular market pairing. Comparable regional LoL fixtures typically see probability distributions weighted toward higher-seeded or historically stronger rosters, though Hitpoint Masters data remains limited in mainstream esports tracking. Without recent head-to-head records or current roster information publicly available, traders relying on conditional order logic would need to establish baseline assumptions: whether either team has withdrawn, whether roster changes have occurred since season start, or whether prior matchup data exists in accessible databases. Programmatic approaches would flag this market as data-sparse until closer to match time.

Traders monitoring this fixture should track Hitpoint Masters official schedules for any postponements or cancellations—the settlement terms specify 50-50 resolution if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion. Forfeiture conditions also apply; if either team fails to appear or is disqualified mid-series, the winning team by default takes the market. Confirmation of both rosters competing and match commencement represents the primary catalyst. Given the settlement window closes within hours of the scheduled start, automated monitoring tools should flag any schedule amendments from official League esports channels or the Hitpoint Masters organiser.

Methodology

We track LoL: Onion Team vs eSuba (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

Is Polymarket legal in the UK?

Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.

Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?

UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.

How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?

UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.