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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 83% Game 1 Winner 74% Game 2 Winner 74% Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) 59% Volume: $195K Liquidity: $693K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Trade this market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Trade this market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Trade this market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Trade this market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Trade this market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner83%
Game 1 Winner74%
Game 2 Winner74%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon59%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon58%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?56%
First Blood in Game 1?55%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?45%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors40%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Any Player Penta Kill39%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor39%
Any Player Quadra Kill39%
Any Player Penta Kill39%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors38%
Any Player Quadra Kill38%
O/U 2.5 Games35%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 83% YES probability for LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend. This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and ThunderTalk Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - L… on Polymarket Review UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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