Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of itf luan: shihomi li xuan leong vs riko kikawada. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Shihomi Li Xuan Leong and Riko Kikawada in the ITF Women Luan, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market wil…
Methodology
This page reviews ITF Luan: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Riko Kikawada across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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