Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of contrexeville: rebeka masarova vs francesca curmi. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Rebeka Masarova and Francesca Curmi in the Contrexeville, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page reviews Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Review UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Contrexeville: Rebeka Masarova vs Francesca Curmi on Polymarket Review UK
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