Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Review UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Trade this market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Trade this market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Trade this market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Trade this market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Trade this market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 90% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 10% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: gentle mates vs fut esports (bo3) - vct emea group alpha stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between Gentle Mates and FUT Esports in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 18 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Review UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Review UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Valorant: Gentle Mates vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EM… on Polymarket Review UK
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